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2007-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern State Demons Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 6.3% 93.7% +14.8 (24.8 off)

Actual: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern State Demons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Bargeman 30 4-7 3-4 4-4 6 0 4 1 1 15 18 -
K. Jones 29 1-3 1-1 2-2 1 6 2 0 3 5 8 -
L. Rogers 25 6-13 2-5 2-3 5 1 1 0 3 16 7 -
J. Spencer 24 8-12 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 0 17 15 -
J. Moody 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 4 2 6 9 -
G. Thomas 20 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 3 1 1 1 1 3 -
M. McConathy 12 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 3 3 -
D. Bell 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
T. Gilder 11 0-2 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 2 2 4 -
K. Hancock 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 2 -2 -
E. Woods 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Jones 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Fonzie 33 2-6 1-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 4 5 -1 -
J. Alexander 33 4-8 3-6 2-2 5 4 2 0 2 13 14 -
M. Kingsley 28 7-11 0-0 1-3 4 1 0 0 2 15 7 -
W. Johnson 24 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 3 2 3 -
S. Weaver 23 2-3 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 6 -
C. Dykes 15 0-5 0-2 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Miller 12 2-5 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 3 4 1 -
T. Guy 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Hardaway 9 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
S. Lewis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Jacobs 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -
C. Ragland 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
H. Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter