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2007-02-11

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 34.4% 65.6% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 35.3% 64.7% +3.3 (9.3 off)
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Ingram * 45 4-11 0-2 3-3 3 0 4 1 1 11 7 -
D. Mercer * 39 2-6 1-2 8-9 6 1 2 0 4 13 12 -
B. Billbe * 34 2-8 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
L. Lekavicius * 31 5-9 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 3 12 3 -
B. Harris * 21 1-5 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 2 0 4 3 -
A. Eitutavicius 31 4-10 1-4 4-4 3 1 0 0 0 13 7 -
T. Lay 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
B. Gilmore 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
G. Carr 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Chones * 40 5-11 4-7 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 16 12 -
J. Simon * 37 6-20 3-10 4-6 1 3 0 0 3 19 0 -
D. Gentile * 35 2-7 0-1 2-2 7 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
D. Waddy * 25 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 1 0 5 0 -1 -
M. Daniels * 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
K. Chones 25 4-8 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 4 12 6 -
T. Vinson 20 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 1 0 1 3 -
W. Morse 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 3 -
T. Checovich 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
P. Minchella 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
B. Jonson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter