Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 67.6% | 32.4% | -4.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.8% | 16.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -6 (58-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Ingram * | 45 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D. Mercer * | 39 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 8-9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | - |
| B. Billbe * | 34 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Lekavicius * | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| B. Harris * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Eitutavicius | 31 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Lay | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Carr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Chones * | 40 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Simon * | 37 | 6-20 | 3-10 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 0 | - |
| D. Gentile * | 35 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Waddy * | 25 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Daniels * | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Chones | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 6 | - |
| T. Vinson | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| W. Morse | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Checovich | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Minchella | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Jonson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter