Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (15.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.8% | 13.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +15 (76-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Holmstrom | 34 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| G. Moore | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Arnold | 28 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Stinson | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| N. Wells | 15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| H. Marshall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. McCoy | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Holsinger | 33 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| B. Strickland | 33 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | - |
| K. Anslinger | 31 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| M. Webster | 22 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| D. Granger | 18 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| S. Ely | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Petty | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Couisnard | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| A. Stalbergs | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Morrow | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| V. Gomez | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Wargel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Gregory | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter