Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | +2.2 | ✗ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars -5 (73-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.