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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 59.2% 40.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.8% 75.2% -
Margin 13.6% 86.4% +10.2 (16.8 off)
Pythagorean 44.2% 55.8% -
Efficiency 16.2% 83.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Log Adjusted 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +27 (84-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster * 35 5-14 1-6 4-4 3 2 3 0 0 15 9 -
D. Cage * 27 2-6 2-4 1-2 7 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
D. Byars * 27 3-13 2-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 4 8 -4 -
A. Gordon * 26 1-6 1-5 3-4 2 5 0 0 2 6 5 -
R. Neltner * 23 5-8 0-1 5-6 6 0 2 1 5 15 11 -
J. Brown 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 0 5 -
J. Beal 13 1-4 0-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -1 -
G. Drake 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Metcalfe 11 0-2 0-1 2-4 3 0 0 3 1 2 5 -
T. Skuchas 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Hammond 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith * 29 4-8 3-5 0-0 8 4 1 1 2 11 15 -
R. Smith * 27 3-8 0-2 3-3 1 4 4 1 4 9 7 -
C. Lofton * 26 4-7 2-4 6-6 2 1 0 0 1 16 11 -
D. Bradshaw * 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 4 7 1 0 2 0 8 -
W. Chism * 22 6-11 3-5 2-4 12 1 2 0 4 17 17 -
J. Howell 18 3-7 3-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 9 5 -
R. Childress 18 3-6 1-3 2-4 7 2 1 1 1 9 13 -
J. Tabb 18 4-4 0-0 1-1 3 2 1 0 0 9 11 -
D. Crews 13 2-3 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 0 3 4 1 -
Q. Cannington 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Wild 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Bosse 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter