Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -42.8 | ✗ (54.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.4% | 13.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Griffin | 34 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| G. Barlow | 31 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Lea | 29 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 3 | - |
| T. Pranciliauskas | 24 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| B. Wallace | 21 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| K. Costain | 19 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| W. Galick | 18 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | - |
| J. Henry | 15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| T. Carr | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Kellogg | 37 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 9-10 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 21 | - |
| D. Cavic | 35 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 33 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 19 | - |
| M. Quezada | 31 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Dukes | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Byrd | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Watkins | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| V. Polakovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter