Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.