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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Austin Peay Governors Samford Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 52.6% 47.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.6% 62.4% -
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 (9.8 off)
Pythagorean 39.2% 60.8% -

Actual: Samford Bulldogs +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Austin Peay Governors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Lockett 36 7-15 0-1 2-3 11 3 1 1 0 16 17 -
D. Wright 36 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 4 2 0 1 2 3 -
D. Reed 35 7-10 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 15 8 -
K. Duncan 31 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 1 1 0 0 5 10 -
T. Babington 23 3-9 3-9 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 9 -2 -
L. Shipley 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 0 -
W. Channels 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
E. Fields 8 0-0 0-0 2-4 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Smith 38 5-8 1-3 3-4 6 4 0 0 2 14 14 -
R. Gulina 37 4-10 3-7 4-4 5 2 0 0 1 15 11 -
C. West 35 1-4 1-4 0-2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -2 -
T. Peterson 33 2-8 0-5 2-2 8 2 2 3 2 6 11 -
J. Merritt 25 1-6 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
J. Black 15 2-4 0-1 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 7 8 -
B. Friday 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Griffin 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter