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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 85.6% 14.4% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 57.1% 42.9% -1.6 (21.4 off)
Pythagorean 69.9% 30.1% -
Efficiency 80.7% 19.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.0% 11.0% -
Log Adjusted 89.1% 10.9% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -23 (53-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Denison 32 2-3 0-0 1-2 5 6 0 2 0 5 15 -
D. Pariseau 29 6-9 2-4 0-0 0 5 2 0 0 14 12 -
J. Bryant 26 4-8 0-0 7-10 5 1 1 1 0 15 15 -
M. Henke 20 0-0 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 2 7 -
B. Angley 17 5-6 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 2 11 7 -
S. Dougherty 16 2-5 2-4 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
B. Rohe 15 3-4 2-2 0-1 4 2 1 0 1 8 10 -
J. Kaempf 13 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Johnson 10 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Gunderson 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Latimer 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
O. Mbanugo 4 0-0 0-0 4-4 3 0 0 0 2 4 5 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Ito 36 1-7 0-3 3-3 4 0 0 0 3 5 -1 -
D. Cooper 36 3-9 1-6 8-10 2 4 0 0 3 15 9 -
K. Field 24 1-5 0-0 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
J. Jones 21 2-10 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 0 5 3 -
B. Averette 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
E. Niedermeyer 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 0 -1 -
S. Watson 13 1-3 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
P. Emerson 12 1-4 1-3 6-6 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
B. Sullivan 12 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 -1 -
W. Thompson 7 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Carter 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter