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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Cal State Fullerton Titans Cal State Northridge Matadors Spread Result
Elo 63.1% 36.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% - โœ“
Margin 51.7% 48.3% -0.4 โœ“ (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.9% 42.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 52.2% 47.8% - โœ“

Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal State Fullerton Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Brown 36 6-16 4-11 6-7 2 7 1 0 6 22 10 -
S. Cutley 35 6-17 0-1 4-6 9 1 1 0 2 16 8 -
J. Burns 29 4-10 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 0 10 8 -
F. Robinson 27 3-8 0-3 1-2 4 3 2 0 1 7 7 -
R. Reed 24 1-4 1-1 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 4 2 -
M. Crenshaw 18 3-6 3-6 2-2 0 1 2 0 0 11 8 -
M. Morgan 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
K. Alexander 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
C. Minardo 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Cal State Northridge Matadors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shewmake 38 11-23 0-2 2-2 15 1 2 2 3 24 18 -
R. Haynes 31 4-10 0-2 2-3 5 1 2 0 3 10 5 -
J. Hill 28 4-9 0-1 1-2 8 2 2 1 3 9 10 -
A. Washington 24 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 6 4 -
J. Heard 23 5-8 0-0 4-10 8 1 0 0 2 14 13 -
C. Chitwood 15 0-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 3 0 -3 -
K. Everage 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
S. Peters 13 3-4 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
J. Miller 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
R. Colston 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter