Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Northern Iowa Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.0% | 41.0% | -2.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -4 (58-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Chaney * | 35 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| B. Ahearn * | 34 | 6-9 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| S. Laurie * | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| N. Bilyeu * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| D. Richards * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 26 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| S. Laurie | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Rausch | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McKowen * | 36 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Josten * | 35 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
| G. Stout * | 34 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| E. Coleman * | 31 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| T. Brown * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| S. Jones | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ahelegbe | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Eglseder | 8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Koch | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Viet | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter