🐻⬇️🏀

Hampton Pirates 67
@
Morgan State Bears 65
2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates Morgan State Bears Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.5% 45.5% - ✓
Margin 46.9% 53.1% +0.7 ✗ (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 61.3% 38.7% - ✓
Points Off/Def 49.6% 50.4% - ✗

Actual: Morgan State Bears -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Hampton Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. West 35 9-16 0-2 5-5 2 4 1 0 5 23 9 -
V. Simpson 32 4-8 1-3 1-2 4 3 4 0 7 10 6 -
A. Woodard 27 3-6 0-0 5-8 6 0 2 1 0 11 14 -
T. Smalling 25 2-2 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 0 4 10 -
M. Pilgrim 22 3-6 1-1 0-4 3 0 2 0 4 7 2 -
D. Mattox 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 2 0 2 -
J. Pehoua 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Clark 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Sumner 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Ntoko 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Morgan State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Timus 38 6-12 1-1 3-5 3 1 1 0 5 16 4 -
M. Stuart 34 7-15 2-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 16 2 -
R. Barnes 24 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 3 2 2 -
J. Smith 24 4-10 0-2 5-6 3 1 1 0 5 13 3 -
B. Coly 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 0 1 6 12 -
J. Green 22 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 7 1 0 5 0 2 -
T. Berkley 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
R. Holmes 14 3-8 1-4 3-4 3 0 1 0 1 10 5 -

* = starter