Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Lamar Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.6% | 91.4% | +13.0 | ✓ (14.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lamar Cardinals +27 (96-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Agwumaro | 26 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 6 | - |
| B. Bush | 26 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| A. Blanchard | 22 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Moseley | 21 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| B. Thomas | 20 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| B. Holder | 18 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 9 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 17 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Kiel | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Taylor | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Kollo | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| N. Baafi | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Barrow | 31 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 19 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 28 | 9-18 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| L. Sanders | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 21 | - |
| B. Chappell | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| C. Todd | 21 | 8-13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 12 | - |
| J. Davis | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| S. Musa | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| L. Nwevo | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| S. Mahoney | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| R. Sansom | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter