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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Texas State Bobcats Lamar Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 52.7% 47.3% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 47.6% 52.4% +0.5 (26.5 off)

Actual: Lamar Cardinals +27 (96-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Agwumaro 26 4-11 0-4 6-6 5 2 2 0 6 14 6 -
B. Bush 26 4-11 4-9 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
A. Blanchard 22 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 3 6 -
D. Moseley 21 4-10 3-8 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 12 7 -
B. Thomas 20 1-4 0-1 1-3 5 1 1 0 1 3 5 -
B. Holder 18 5-9 4-7 2-2 4 1 2 0 5 16 9 -
M. Fullenwider 17 3-8 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 0 4 6 0 -
G. Kiel 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 0 -
G. Taylor 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
A. Williams 10 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Kollo 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
N. Baafi 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Barrow 31 5-6 3-3 0-1 3 5 4 0 0 13 19 -
D. Hopkins 28 9-18 1-6 2-3 3 5 2 0 1 21 12 -
L. Sanders 27 4-6 0-0 1-2 11 6 3 2 4 9 21 -
B. Chappell 24 2-7 2-6 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 6 3 -
C. Todd 21 8-13 4-7 2-4 2 4 2 0 5 22 12 -
J. Davis 19 2-3 0-0 4-4 5 3 1 1 2 8 13 -
S. Musa 18 2-4 0-0 2-2 7 2 1 0 2 6 10 -
L. Nwevo 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 4 8 4 -
S. Mahoney 8 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 1 2 0 0 3 6 -
R. Sansom 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter