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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% -
Bradley-Terry 35.7% 64.3% -
Margin 29.6% 70.4% +4.8 (14.2 off)
Pythagorean 14.3% 85.7% -
Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +19 (78-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
X. Silas * 32 5-12 2-6 4-4 2 0 0 0 10 16 -4 -
R. Roby * 28 1-9 0-2 3-4 6 1 4 0 5 5 2 -
J. Williams * 27 1-5 1-3 1-4 4 2 0 2 0 4 7 -
M. King-Stockton * 24 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 1 0 3 1 7 12 -
K. Bay * 19 1-5 0-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -4 -
D. Coleman 35 5-7 2-3 2-2 7 4 0 1 2 14 17 -
J. Jackson-Wilson 22 4-6 0-0 3-5 2 0 0 1 2 11 6 -
S. Kowal 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
D. Thorne II 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 1 -
J. Inge 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hoskins * 28 4-13 0-2 5-11 9 6 1 1 3 13 14 -
A. Wright * 27 2-12 0-2 0-0 11 4 1 1 1 4 8 -
B. Young * 25 4-7 0-1 0-0 1 5 3 0 2 8 8 -
J. Maybank * 23 0-2 0-0 3-4 1 2 0 0 1 3 3 -
L. Colon * 11 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 1 0 5 5 -
L. Harris 26 2-7 0-4 2-3 0 2 0 0 1 6 0 -
C. Martin 21 8-13 4-6 5-6 4 0 0 0 1 25 15 -
C. Stewart 17 3-7 0-1 0-1 7 1 1 0 0 6 8 -
S. Afeli 8 3-6 0-0 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
D. Kent 4 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Yearby 2 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Merriewether 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter