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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“
Margin 10.6% 89.4% +11.7 โœ“ (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.4% 72.6% - โœ“

Actual: Pacific Tigers +20 (86-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Bell 38 1-8 1-5 1-2 3 5 2 0 4 4 2 -
H. Thomsen 33 11-18 6-12 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 28 10 -
L. Cunningham 29 9-18 0-2 1-4 7 2 1 0 2 19 9 -
C. Soto 25 1-2 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 1 2 2 11 -
C. Johnson 24 2-8 0-3 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 4 1 -
D. Bates 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
C. Jim-George 15 2-6 2-6 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 2 -
S. Anderson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 1 -
M. Creppy 6 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -
K. Ennis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Esparza 35 4-7 0-2 3-3 7 6 0 0 1 11 16 -
R. Vezia 35 6-10 3-6 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 15 14 -
B. Pemberton 27 4-8 0-2 5-8 6 3 0 1 1 13 14 -
S. Johnson 23 6-10 1-1 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 13 9 -
S. Horsechief 19 2-3 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 1 2 6 5 -
M. White 19 2-3 0-1 5-5 7 1 1 0 2 9 13 -
W. Raffety 15 3-6 0-1 1-1 3 0 0 1 0 7 5 -
A. Brown 14 1-3 0-0 6-8 5 1 0 0 3 8 8 -
C. Neimeyer 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
C.J. Morgan 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter