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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model New Mexico State Aggies Fresno State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% -
Bradley-Terry 46.3% 53.7% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (3.1 off)
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -

Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Mexico State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Peete 32 3-8 3-5 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 9 5 -
E. Ingram 31 1-7 1-7 2-2 2 4 1 0 5 5 0 -
H. Passos 29 2-2 0-0 3-5 7 3 2 1 3 7 15 -
J. Hawkins 29 3-10 1-3 4-6 8 3 1 0 2 11 11 -
T. Nelson 28 5-11 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 0 1 12 9 -
S. Davis 15 4-6 2-3 1-2 0 0 1 0 3 11 3 -
T. Knauber 12 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -
D. Fisher 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 0 3 -
M. Iti 6 1-2 0-0 1-4 1 0 0 1 2 3 1 -
J. Gibson 5 2-4 0-1 2-4 2 1 1 0 0 6 6 -
L. Theus 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Steward 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Britt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Fresno State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Bell 40 5-7 1-3 5-10 3 7 0 0 3 16 16 -
Q. Hosley 39 8-11 0-2 6-8 10 2 2 2 2 22 25 -
D. McGuire 36 3-9 1-1 1-4 11 4 1 4 3 8 16 -
E. Miller 31 4-10 4-9 2-2 4 0 2 0 0 14 10 -
H. Hernandez 19 2-11 0-7 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 -9 -
A. Blair 16 3-4 0-0 0-1 3 1 2 0 1 6 7 -
T. Parker 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 0 -3 -
S. Taylor 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
R. Cesar 2 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Riding 1 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

* = starter