Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Houston Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.8% | 97.2% | +25.7 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.3% | 96.7% | +18.6 | ✓ (5.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Cougars +24 (83-59). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darrell Jenkins | 36 | 10-13 | 8-10 | 3-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 23 | - |
| Gabe Blair | 33 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Cory Farmer | 28 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Courtney Captain | 25 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Brandon Evans | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Taylor Gagnon | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Justin Ramsey | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| John Fields | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Ingram | 10 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| James Dillard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Greyson Sargent | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rob McKiver | 35 | 8-16 | 4-12 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Oliver Lafayette | 32 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| Jahmar Thorpe | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Dion Dowell | 26 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Malone | 25 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Tafari Toney | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Robert Lee | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Charlie Jones | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Nick Mosley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kyle Hatcher | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter