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Brown Bears 68
@
Columbia Lions 77
2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 28.9% 71.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Margin 35.8% 64.2% +3.2 ✓ (5.8 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - ✓
Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 44.2% 55.8% - ✓
Log Adjusted 44.5% 55.5% - ✓

Actual: Columbia Lions +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Becker * 40 0-2 0-0 4-4 3 5 2 0 2 4 10 -
M. McAndrew * 40 6-10 4-7 10-10 4 4 1 0 4 26 21 -
D. Huffman * 37 6-13 4-8 4-5 3 1 1 0 2 20 10 -
C. Skrelja * 30 2-5 2-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 6 0 -
M. Mullery * 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 2 3 -
M. MacDonald 18 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 4 2 -
S. Friske 12 0-0 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
S. Manhanga 4 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Gruber 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann * 33 8-11 3-3 2-3 9 0 2 0 1 21 20 -
P. Foley * 33 3-10 1-6 7-7 1 7 4 0 2 14 14 -
M. Montgomery * 25 2-5 2-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 8 5 -
B. Nwachukwu * 22 0-3 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
N. Scott * 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 0 -
K. Bulger 22 0-2 0-1 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 1 3 -
K.J. Matsui 20 5-9 4-7 4-4 2 2 1 0 0 18 14 -
J. Bova 14 4-6 2-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 10 6 -
J. Armstrong 13 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter