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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Air Force Falcons New Mexico Lobos Spread Result
Elo 1.5% 98.5% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 6.5% 93.5% +14.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.5% 37.5% -
Efficiency 92.4% 7.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.3% 8.7% -

Actual: New Mexico Lobos -9 (51-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Air Force Falcons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burtschi * 38 5-9 3-6 2-3 7 1 1 0 1 15 14 -
T. Anderson * 37 6-9 1-2 4-4 4 3 3 0 2 17 16 -
M. McCraw * 36 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
D. Nwaelele * 35 5-11 2-4 5-7 3 4 2 0 2 17 13 -
N. Welch * 27 3-7 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 1 7 7 -
J. Frye 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 1 2 2 -
A. Henke 7 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
A. Hood 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

New Mexico Lobos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Prentice * 35 3-10 2-7 0-0 6 7 1 0 4 8 8 -
J.R. Giddens * 34 4-13 0-2 2-2 5 0 0 1 2 10 1 -
C. Toppert * 33 2-8 2-7 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
T. Danridge * 27 4-11 0-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 8 0 -
A. Johnson * 9 0-2 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 1 4 -
R. Kersten 26 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
D. Faris 22 1-3 0-0 4-5 4 0 0 3 1 6 9 -
R. Martinez 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 5 7 -
J. Smith 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Walter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Henfield 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter