Model Predictions
| Model | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +37 (104-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Smith * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 8 | - |
| J. Skeen * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| K. Visser * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| L.D. Williams * | 22 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| H. Hale * | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Gurley | 19 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 2 | - |
| M. Drum | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Weaver | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Swinton | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Stanley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Dukes | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. McFarland | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Crawford | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wright * | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| T. Lawson * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 21 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| R. Terry * | 17 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 23 | - |
| D. Thompson | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Green | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| W. Miller | 9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Frasor | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| M. Copeland | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Burke | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| S. Wood | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter