Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.3% | 47.7% | -0.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dlouhy | 38 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 36 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| S. Mayes | 24 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 13 | - |
| B. Ellis | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| K. Sharp | 19 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Martin | 19 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| C. Rundles | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Chavez | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| G. Chase | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durham | 36 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-4 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| L. Ball | 35 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 11 | - |
| C. Durr | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| T. Morris | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| C. Taylor | 26 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Davis | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| B. Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Zamora | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter