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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Kansas Jayhawks Missouri Tigers Spread Result
Elo 2.7% 97.3% -
Bradley-Terry 3.2% 96.8% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +65.7 (83.7 off)
Pythagorean 62.2% 37.8% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.6% 8.4% -
Log Adjusted 91.8% 8.2% -

Actual: Missouri Tigers -18 (74-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas Jayhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Wright * 36 14-21 0-1 5-7 12 2 1 2 4 33 25 -
B. Rush * 34 8-10 3-3 2-2 7 0 0 1 3 21 16 -
M. Chalmers * 34 1-8 0-2 4-4 4 2 4 1 2 6 7 -
R. Robinson * 29 1-5 0-1 2-4 3 5 1 1 2 4 7 -
S. Kaun * 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
S. Collins 27 5-9 0-2 4-5 1 7 1 0 2 14 12 -
D. Jackson 20 4-4 0-0 2-2 6 0 2 1 1 10 14 -
D. Arthur 12 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 2 4 6 -

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lawrence * 31 5-11 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 13 4 -
S. Hannah * 31 7-14 3-8 2-2 4 5 3 0 5 19 12 -
K. Lawrence * 30 4-12 1-6 2-4 5 3 1 0 3 11 5 -
K. Grimes * 28 6-9 0-0 4-4 9 1 0 1 2 16 16 -
M. Brown * 19 1-6 0-2 1-4 5 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
D. Butterfield 20 3-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 7 5 -
J.T. Tiller 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 1 -
J. Horton 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
L. Lyons 8 0-4 0-2 2-4 2 1 0 1 1 2 1 -
M. Watkins 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
V. Volkus 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
G. Dandridge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter