Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Francis Red Flash | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.3% | 61.7% | +2.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.