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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 54.5% 45.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% -
Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.6% 25.4% -
Log Adjusted 74.6% 25.4% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Humphrey * 36 1-7 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 -2 -
T. Green * 35 4-7 3-5 2-2 3 3 0 1 3 13 10 -
C. Brewer * 33 5-11 1-3 5-8 7 1 2 1 4 16 12 -
J. Noah * 21 3-5 0-0 0-1 6 3 0 1 3 6 8 -
A. Horford * 21 3-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 0 1 2 9 8 -
C. Richard 25 4-6 0-0 3-3 5 0 1 0 1 11 10 -
W. Hodge 16 2-3 0-1 0-1 1 0 1 0 0 4 3 -
D. Werner 10 0-2 0-2 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mitchell 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bradley * 37 7-17 3-10 3-8 3 3 1 0 1 20 9 -
J. Crawford * 37 3-12 0-6 0-0 8 2 1 1 3 6 3 -
R. Morris * 27 7-13 0-0 4-5 9 1 0 2 0 18 17 -
B. Perry * 22 1-7 0-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
D. Jasper * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
S. Thomas 27 0-3 0-1 4-4 5 2 0 0 0 4 8 -
J. Meeks 25 3-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 6 1 -
L. Obrzut 6 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
P. Stevenson 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

* = starter