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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Morehead State Eagles Murray State Racers Spread Result
Elo 5.5% 94.5% -
Bradley-Terry 28.1% 71.9% -
Margin 17.3% 82.7% +8.6 (5.4 off)

Actual: Murray State Racers +14 (71-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Morehead State Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Q. Pryor 32 3-8 1-6 3-3 5 5 0 0 3 10 9 -
S. Williams 27 5-9 0-1 2-4 5 1 3 1 2 12 11 -
C. Brown 26 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 3 8 3 -
N. Stojakovic 22 1-2 0-0 3-4 3 4 0 0 4 5 6 -
J. Steward 21 4-9 1-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
V. Crutcher 20 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 0 9 9 -
C. Ballard 19 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 4 -2 -
B. Callahan 18 0-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 1 0 2 1 -3 -
M. Stallworth 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -

Murray State Racers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 29 4-5 0-0 2-4 2 2 1 2 1 10 11 -
E. Horton 28 3-8 1-3 4-5 2 5 1 1 2 11 10 -
B. Carter 27 3-7 0-2 0-0 6 3 2 0 3 6 7 -
T. Holloway 27 3-6 3-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 1 11 9 -
R. George 26 4-10 3-5 4-5 1 5 1 0 3 15 9 -
S. Witherspoon 22 4-6 1-2 1-2 3 1 1 0 1 10 8 -
D. Thomas 16 3-7 2-4 2-2 5 0 1 1 2 10 8 -
C. Parker 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
D. Paul 8 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 1 1 3 -
T. Easley 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Ard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter