Model Predictions
| Model | Morehead State Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.0% | 86.0% | +12.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.7% | 79.3% | +7.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +12 (74-62). Ratings: 2006-07 season-end ratings.
Morehead State Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Pryor | 32 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Shannon Williams | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Cecil Brown | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Nikola Stojakovic | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jamyron Steward | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Vincent Crutcher | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Cordaryl Ballard | 19 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Brandon Callahan | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -3 | - |
| Maze Stallworth | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marvin Williams | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Ed Horton | 28 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Bruce Carter | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tyler Holloway | 27 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Ray George | 26 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 9 | - |
| S. Witherspoon | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Danero Thomas | 16 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Curtis Parker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dwayne Paul | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Tony Easley | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daniel Ard | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarad Key | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter