Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Indiana Hoosiers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Hoosiers +4 (65-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McBride * | 38 | 5-13 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 2 | - |
| C. Frazier * | 34 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 | - |
| W. Carter * | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Randle * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Smith | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| C. Brock | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Arnold | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| T. Meacham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Indiana Hoosiers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bassett * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | - |
| R. Wilmont * | 34 | 8-16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 9 | - |
| E. Calloway * | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D.J. White | 36 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A.J. Ratliff | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| L. Stemler | 19 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. White | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Suhr | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Shaw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter