Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats +2 (53-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Claxton * | 40 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Cornley * | 37 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| M. Bogetic * | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Luber * | 26 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Morrissey * | 23 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Walker | 20 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Hassell | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Suotamo | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Coble * | 34 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J. Okrzesik * | 28 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Doyle * | 28 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| J. Ryan * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| I. Tolic * | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| A. Carson | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Moore | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| S. Williams | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter