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2007-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 20.5% 79.5% -
Bradley-Terry 55.8% 44.2% -
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.4 (15.4 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 79.1% 20.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +15 (100-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Grant * 32 0-6 0-1 5-8 5 2 0 0 0 5 6 -
A. Calvin * 30 9-14 0-1 1-2 3 1 1 0 2 19 8 -
A. Stewart * 29 4-8 0-1 2-2 8 4 0 0 3 10 11 -
J. Young * 28 6-15 1-7 1-2 3 7 2 0 4 14 7 -
N. Works * 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 1 0 1 5 8 -
K. Korver 22 3-8 1-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 9 3 -
L. Houston 21 4-9 3-7 1-1 2 0 1 0 0 12 6 -
J. Cox 17 3-4 0-1 2-2 8 0 1 1 2 8 12 -
C. Bryant 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -
J. Baryenbruch 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
B. Eaddy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Traore dit Nignan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Franklin * 36 7-13 3-6 0-0 4 7 1 0 2 17 14 -
D. Ruffin * 35 7-13 5-6 0-0 3 10 1 0 1 19 19 -
J.J. Tauai * 31 5-8 0-2 2-3 2 2 1 1 3 12 7 -
M. Salley * 22 2-4 0-0 4-5 6 0 1 0 6 8 5 -
Z. Andrews * 19 7-9 0-0 4-5 10 1 1 0 1 18 20 -
A. Warren 20 1-3 1-3 2-2 4 2 0 1 0 5 9 -
J. Crouch 20 4-7 4-5 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 12 7 -
D. Adams 8 1-4 1-4 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -
S. Singh 4 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 0 0 0 0 3 5 -
S. Jassey 3 0-2 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1 -
B. Lavin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Phillips 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter