Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.9% | 52.1% | +0.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 90.5% | 9.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -15 (66-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Williams * | 39 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| L. Wade * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | - |
| M. Abukar * | 36 | 8-17 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| N. LeSure * | 35 | 4-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 4 | - |
| J. Habel * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| K. Spain | 19 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lewis * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| T. Smith * | 32 | 7-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 4 | - |
| S. Gilling * | 30 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | - |
| T. Denson * | 30 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 13 | - |
| S. Creason * | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Smith | 30 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| X. Kilby | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| F. Robinson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Aguilar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter