Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✗ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers -8 (83-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 36 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| C. Rhodes * | 29 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | 18 | - |
| D. Slater * | 26 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| R. Delk * | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Delk * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Stewart | 30 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 24 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| J. Varnado | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| P. Stelmach | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Robertson * | 36 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| F. Tolbert * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 8-9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| R. Barrett * | 32 | 5-14 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 4 | - |
| J. Dollard * | 32 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| K. Barber * | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Q. Prowell | 21 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| A. Miaway | 18 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| K. Lewis | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter