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2007-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.1% 25.9% -
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -14 (71-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Flato 34 6-13 4-8 10-11 4 2 2 0 3 26 18 -
C. Hughes 32 1-2 0-0 5-9 4 2 0 0 4 7 7 -
R. Morin 29 4-5 0-0 3-3 4 1 0 0 1 11 10 -
C. Holmes 28 5-6 3-3 7-8 6 1 0 1 0 20 22 -
N. Holmes 28 3-5 3-5 2-3 1 0 1 0 2 11 6 -
M. Kyle 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 4 3 -
P. Nelson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Pinick 12 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 1 2 3 3 -
A. Zampier 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
A. Greenberg 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. Gibson 1 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Foley 27 5-9 1-2 5-5 0 4 0 0 1 16 10 -
J. Baumann 26 4-9 1-3 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 12 10 -
B. Nwachukwu 25 6-10 0-0 1-3 3 1 0 2 2 13 7 -
J. Armstrong 23 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 3 2 4 -
M. Montgomery 20 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -
K. Bulger 20 2-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
N. Scott 16 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 1 0 2 7 3 -
J. Bova 15 3-6 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 7 1 -
B. Loscalzo 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Miller 8 0-1 0-0 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
D. Trepanier 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Nolan 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Matthews 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K.J. Matsui 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Gately 2 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

* = starter