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2007-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 47.5% 52.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.5% 61.5% -
Margin 32.0% 68.0% +4.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.8% 61.2% -
Efficiency 80.8% 19.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.6% 68.4% -
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% -

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Stewart * 36 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 10 2 0 4 8 15 -
A. Calvin * 35 4-14 1-1 5-8 9 1 1 1 0 14 12 -
J. Young * 33 6-11 2-5 1-1 3 0 2 0 1 15 8 -
N. Grant * 29 6-9 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 2 14 11 -
N. Works * 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
K. Korver 23 4-9 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 8 4 -
L. Houston 15 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 3 0 2 3 2 -
J. Cox 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Bryant 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. McKowen * 40 5-10 3-7 0-0 5 5 1 0 4 13 10 -
J. Josten * 38 4-9 2-5 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 10 2 -
E. Coleman * 36 6-11 0-0 3-5 8 6 0 2 4 15 16 -
G. Stout * 33 8-14 0-2 1-4 14 2 1 1 1 17 20 -
T. Brown * 30 2-8 0-4 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 4 -4 -
A. Viet 14 0-6 0-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -
A. Koch 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
S. Jones 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Eglseder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter