Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.6% | 37.4% | -2.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -11 (53-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| C. Gay | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 7-16 | 0-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - |
| L. Harding | 0 | 7-19 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 6 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Mccants | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-8 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 3-20 | 0-11 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -8 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 8-14 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 14 | - |
* = starter