Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Purdue Boilermakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.9% | 59.1% | +2.0 | ✓ (22.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +24 (62-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 39 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -5 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Suton * | 31 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| T. Walton * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| I. Ibok * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Joseph | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -3 | - |
| D. Naymick | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| M. Gray | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Ducre | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Hannon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Teague * | 30 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 18 | - |
| C. Landry * | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 11 | - |
| C. Kramer * | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Grant * | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| G. Watt * | 18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Lutz | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. Green | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Crump | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Uchendu | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Riddell | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Hartley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter