Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 19.2% | 80.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.9% | 18.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Slater | 32 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| J. Gordon | 31 | 9-17 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| R. Delk | 30 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 28 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| R. Delk | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Stewart | 19 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Varnado | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| V. Goodridge | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Alabama Crimson Tide
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Steele | 37 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Davidson | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| M. Riley | 30 | 5-14 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| R. Hendrix | 30 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| B. Hollinger | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Gee | 22 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Jemison | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Tubbs | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter