Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.2% | 42.8% | -1.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Green | 0 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 24 | - |
| A. Mcdonald | 0 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 1 | - |
| L. Rusche | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Corbin | 0 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 9-9 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 26 | - |
| J. Demuth | 0 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Achter | 0 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| L. Honegger | 0 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 15 | - |
| A. Mann | 0 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 11-13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| C. Horne | 0 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Thorburn | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
* = starter