Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.9% | 12.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.3% | 59.7% | +2.2 | ✗ (17.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.1% | 11.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.3% | 15.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -15 (43-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McBride * | 37 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - |
| W. Carter * | 36 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 18 | - |
| S. Pruitt * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| B. Randle * | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Meacham * | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Frazier | 19 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Brock | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Smith | 18 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C.J. Jackson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Arnold | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hicks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Doyle * | 39 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 13 | - |
| K. Coble * | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Ryan * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| J. Okrzesik * | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Carson * | 20 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| J. Nash | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| S. Williams | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| C. Moore | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Steger | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| I. Tolic | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Melchior | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| E. Ross | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Houlihan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter