Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.5% | 14.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +21 (62-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. McCraw | 34 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Burtschi | 33 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| T. Anderson | 32 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| N. Welch | 24 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D. Nwaelele | 22 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Henke | 20 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Frye | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Johnson | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Holland | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Hood | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Teets | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 37 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| L. Wade | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| M. Abukar | 34 | 8-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| J. Habel | 34 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| K. Spain | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| J. Johnson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Martin | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Lamb | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Velasquez | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter