Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.8% | 84.2% | +9.2 | ✗ (10.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -1 (67-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Thornton | 39 | 7-21 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 6 | - |
| J. Rich | 38 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Douglas | 34 | 6-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| U. Echefu | 20 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| R. Reid | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Allen | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Mims | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| I. Swann | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Breeden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Paulus | 38 | 8-13 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 15 | - |
| D. Nelson | 37 | 6-19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 1 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| G. Henderson | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. McClure | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter