Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio State Buckeyes | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 34.6% | 65.4% | +3.5 | ✗ (12.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.4% | 29.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -9 (54-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio State Buckeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Butler | 36 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| G. Oden | 33 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Conley | 33 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| R. Lewis | 27 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| O. Hunter | 25 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Cook | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| I. Harris | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| D. Lighty | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Terwilliger | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel | 40 | 7-18 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| T. Walton | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Suton | 33 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 12 | - |
| R. Morgan | 33 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| D. Naymick | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Gray | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| M. Joseph | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| I. Ibok | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter