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2007-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% -
Bradley-Terry 24.3% 75.7% -
Margin 15.6% 84.4% +9.3 (29.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.8% 40.2% -
Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 68.0% 32.0% -
Log Adjusted 68.3% 31.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson -20 (70-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Montgomery 29 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 0 5 4 -
B. Nwachukwu 22 3-8 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 1 4 7 5 -
N. Scott 22 5-9 3-6 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 13 8 -
J. Bova 19 3-6 1-2 1-1 3 1 0 1 1 8 6 -
J. Baumann 18 7-8 1-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 17 11 -
P. Foley 17 6-7 1-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 13 14 -
B. Loscalzo 16 4-5 3-3 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 11 10 -
K. Bulger 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Armstrong 14 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 0 2 0 3 3 4 -
L. Nolan 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 4 4 -
K.J. Matsui 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
D. Trepanier 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
W. Matthews 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Gately 2 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Goffredo 33 5-14 3-9 4-4 0 1 1 1 1 17 5 -
D. Housman 30 1-7 1-4 2-2 2 5 1 0 5 5 1 -
B. Unger 29 6-9 1-2 3-3 5 1 0 0 2 16 11 -
J. Lin 19 1-3 0-1 3-3 3 3 2 0 4 5 6 -
E. Harris 17 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 3 3 5 6 -
P. Magnarelli 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 1 0 4 7 -
B. Darcy 17 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 6 6 -
A. Pusar 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
A. Blankenau 15 1-3 1-3 4-4 2 1 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Lambert 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
N. Okereke 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Finkton 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -

* = starter