Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.3% | 34.7% | -3.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.3% | 42.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 82.5% | 17.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.2% | 16.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Paulus | 45 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. McRoberts | 43 | 7-18 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| D. Nelson | 39 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Scheyer | 29 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| D. McClure | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| L. Thomas | 20 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Henderson | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Pocius | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary | 43 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 5 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds | 40 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 10-11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 14 | - |
| M. Diane | 39 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| J. Cain | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Harris | 17 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| A. Joseph | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Tat | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Pettinella | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| T. Soroye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter