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2007-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Virginia Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% -
Bradley-Terry 60.8% 39.2% -
Margin 65.3% 34.7% -3.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% -
Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.0% 17.0% -
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% -

Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +2 (68-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Paulus 45 3-11 2-8 2-2 2 5 0 0 2 10 4 -
J. McRoberts 43 7-18 0-0 5-6 2 2 0 3 1 19 7 -
D. Nelson 39 5-10 2-5 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 12 7 -
J. Scheyer 29 3-9 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -
D. McClure 27 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 2 0 4 10 -
L. Thomas 20 4-4 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 2 9 7 -
G. Henderson 20 2-4 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 1 1 5 8 -
M. Pocius 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Zoubek 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary 43 6-16 1-5 4-4 2 4 0 0 2 17 5 -
J.R. Reynolds 40 7-15 1-4 10-11 4 2 0 0 2 25 14 -
M. Diane 39 6-8 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 14 9 -
J. Cain 39 3-7 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 1 6 8 -
W. Harris 17 1-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
A. Joseph 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Mikalauskas 11 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
S. Tat 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -
R. Pettinella 5 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
T. Soroye 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter