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2007-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 13.5% 86.5% -
Bradley-Terry 44.8% 55.2% -
Margin 39.6% 60.4% +2.3 (20.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.3% 44.7% -
Efficiency 95.5% 4.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.6% 16.4% -
Log Adjusted 83.7% 16.3% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -18 (60-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Butler 33 6-10 4-7 0-0 5 3 2 0 0 16 16 -
M. Conley 32 6-8 1-1 5-6 1 6 1 0 4 18 14 -
D. Cook 26 5-10 1-1 1-2 10 2 1 1 1 12 15 -
G. Oden 21 4-6 0-0 1-2 6 2 1 2 4 9 10 -
R. Lewis 21 2-4 1-2 2-2 5 2 1 0 1 7 10 -
I. Harris 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -
M. Terwilliger 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 1 -
D. Lighty 17 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 1 4 3 -
O. Hunter 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 2 0 7 7 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Teague 37 3-10 1-4 0-0 7 4 1 0 1 7 8 -
C. Landry 31 6-17 1-4 3-4 3 1 1 1 3 16 2 -
C. Lutz 24 3-7 2-6 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 8 7 -
C. Kramer 24 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
T. Crump 23 5-11 0-1 1-1 4 3 1 0 1 11 7 -
G. Watt 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 5 6 -
K. Grant 17 2-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 2 -
M. Green 17 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 7 5 -
J. Uchendu 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter