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2007-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 34.3% 65.7% -
Bradley-Terry 57.9% 42.1% -
Margin 55.8% 44.2% -1.3 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 64.8% 35.2% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.9% 6.1% -
Log Adjusted 93.9% 6.1% -

Actual: UCF Knights -22 (65-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dorsey 29 10-13 0-0 2-4 9 0 5 0 3 22 20 -
C. Douglas-Roberts 28 9-13 0-0 5-5 2 4 2 0 3 23 15 -
A. Anderson 24 2-5 0-3 0-0 1 3 2 0 0 4 5 -
W. Kemp 22 2-4 1-3 0-2 3 1 1 0 2 5 4 -
R. Dozier 22 1-4 0-1 3-4 0 0 1 0 0 5 2 -
J. Hunt 19 4-6 2-4 2-2 3 2 1 0 1 12 11 -
A. Allen 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 0 3 -
D. Mack 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 5 -
K. Cooper 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 2 3 -
T. Willis 6 1-1 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
C. Wade 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. McGrady 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
P. Henderson-Niles 3 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
H. Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Peppers 33 5-11 2-5 8-9 5 4 1 1 2 20 18 -
M. O'Donnell 33 3-7 2-5 1-3 2 2 1 0 2 9 5 -
D. Noel 24 2-4 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 4 6 1 -
J. Taylor 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 4 2 -2 -
C. Cartwright 20 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 2 1 2 4 5 -
L. Payne 20 3-5 1-1 2-5 3 1 0 2 3 9 7 -
K. Zondervan 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 2 0 -
M. Battle 13 2-4 2-4 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 7 3 -
S. Billings 7 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Gill 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Loucks 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -
A. Thornton 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter