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2007-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Miami Hurricanes North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% -
Margin 18.7% 81.3% +8.1 (32.9 off)
Pythagorean 13.6% 86.4% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +41 (105-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Clemente 32 2-6 0-1 1-2 1 4 2 0 4 5 2 -
B. Asbury 30 2-10 1-4 1-2 3 1 2 1 1 6 2 -
J. McClinton 29 6-14 3-6 0-1 1 1 2 0 1 15 4 -
A. Harris 28 5-10 3-4 5-6 3 3 1 0 3 18 12 -
R. Hicks 27 4-6 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 10 8 -
D. Collins 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 2 0 -
J. Dews 17 2-6 1-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 7 2 -
L. Gilbert 11 0-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
K. Copeland 6 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -1 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Wright 27 3-5 0-0 2-4 7 1 2 4 5 8 12 -
T. Hansbrough 25 7-13 0-0 8-12 13 1 0 1 1 22 23 -
W. Ellington 20 5-9 3-5 1-1 3 4 2 0 1 14 13 -
T. Lawson 20 5-8 3-5 0-0 0 3 0 0 4 13 4 -
M. Ginyard 19 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 1 0 1 5 9 -
R. Terry 15 3-5 2-4 2-2 7 1 0 0 1 10 12 -
D. Thompson 15 3-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
D. Green 13 3-6 1-2 5-5 1 3 2 1 0 12 13 -
W. Miller 12 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 6 2 -
Q. Thomas 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 8 0 0 1 0 7 -
A. Stepheson 10 0-0 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 2 6 -
B. Frasor 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Copeland 2 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
S. Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Burke 1 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter