Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Hurricanes | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.7% | 81.3% | +8.1 | ✓ (32.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +41 (105-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Miami Hurricanes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Clemente | 32 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Asbury | 30 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. McClinton | 29 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 4 | - |
| A. Harris | 28 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | - |
| R. Hicks | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Collins | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Dews | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| L. Gilbert | 11 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Copeland | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Wright | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 12 | - |
| T. Hansbrough | 25 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 8-12 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 23 | - |
| W. Ellington | 20 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| T. Lawson | 20 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 4 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| R. Terry | 15 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Thompson | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 13 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| W. Miller | 12 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Frasor | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter