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2007-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Alabama Crimson Tide LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 79.6% 20.4% -
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% -
Margin 40.2% 59.8% +2.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.6% 62.4% -
Efficiency 29.5% 70.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Davidson 36 12-20 0-0 7-8 8 0 0 2 0 31 21 -
R. Steele 34 0-5 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 3 0 -1 -
R. Hendrix 33 6-8 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 4 13 10 -
A. Gee 27 4-9 0-1 3-4 2 0 1 0 3 11 2 -
B. Hollinger 26 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 3 3 -
M. Riley 24 4-7 2-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 2 12 8 -
D. Jemison 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
J. Tubbs 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Davis 36 7-14 1-4 0-0 4 6 1 1 0 15 13 -
T. Martin 33 2-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 5 2 -
T. Mitchell 33 6-9 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 0 14 11 -
G. Temple 30 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 6 1 0 5 2 3 -
C. Johnson 18 4-8 1-2 4-4 2 0 0 3 1 13 9 -
M. Rolle 18 3-3 0-0 3-3 2 1 1 2 1 9 11 -
D. Mason 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 4 2 -
B. Voogd 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 2 3 -
D. Lazare 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 6 3 -

* = starter