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2007-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 68.0% 32.0% -
Bradley-Terry 58.5% 41.5% -
Margin 61.2% 38.8% -2.5 (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 58.4% 41.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 59.3% 40.7% -
Log Adjusted 59.4% 40.6% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal -4 (86-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pargo 45 7-13 0-0 9-13 7 3 3 0 2 23 21 -
D. Raivio 43 6-15 1-8 8-8 2 4 1 0 1 21 12 -
J. Heytvelt 39 4-13 2-4 2-3 12 0 0 3 0 12 14 -
M. Bouldin 39 2-11 1-3 5-7 7 4 5 0 2 10 13 -
D. Pendergraft 35 5-7 1-1 3-3 4 0 1 0 2 14 10 -
M. Downs 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
S. Mallon 17 4-7 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 9 1 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 1 -
A. Kuso 7 0-0 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 2 0 0 5 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Goods 45 5-15 4-10 2-4 3 3 0 0 3 16 4 -
F. Washington 44 3-4 0-0 2-6 6 6 0 0 3 8 13 -
L. Hill 39 8-14 3-6 3-4 5 5 0 1 5 22 14 -
B. Lopez 35 8-18 1-2 3-4 12 0 0 5 2 20 17 -
R. Lopez 34 1-6 0-0 6-8 8 2 0 4 1 8 15 -
M. Johnson 28 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 4 0 0 1 7 8 -
T. Finger 13 1-3 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
L. Fields 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
P. Prowitt 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter