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2007-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 28.0% 72.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.5% 40.5% -
Margin 56.4% 43.6% -1.4 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.9% 58.1% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.4% 75.6% -
Log Adjusted 24.2% 75.8% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -1 (63-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J.R. Reynolds 38 8-12 2-5 0-0 0 2 2 0 4 18 6 -
S. Singletary 26 4-10 1-5 2-4 7 1 2 0 4 11 7 -
M. Diane 26 3-9 1-5 3-4 3 0 1 0 3 10 2 -
A. Joseph 23 4-8 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 7 -
J. Cain 22 1-5 0-0 2-2 6 2 1 0 0 4 8 -
T. Soroye 22 0-0 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 2 1 7 -
S. Tat 16 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 2 0 0 0 5 8 -
W. Harris 14 2-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 2 -
L. Mikalauskas 5 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Tucker 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Meyinsse 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mays 34 4-8 1-2 3-6 10 6 2 0 5 12 17 -
C. Hammonds 34 5-9 3-6 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 13 11 -
V. Hamilton 33 6-13 2-6 2-3 1 3 1 0 4 16 4 -
K.C. Rivers 26 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 1 1 0 2 6 5 -
T. Booker 23 2-6 0-0 2-2 4 2 0 2 1 6 7 -
S. Perry 19 2-4 0-1 0-2 1 1 1 1 0 4 4 -
D. Potter 16 2-5 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 0 4 3 -
J. Powell 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Sykes 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter