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2007-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.0% 97.0% -
Bradley-Terry 9.9% 90.1% -
Margin 3.5% 96.5% +18.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% -
Log Adjusted 12.2% 87.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (75-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Dudley 40 5-11 2-4 5-5 8 3 1 0 3 17 15 -
S. Marshall 38 2-11 1-4 2-3 7 1 1 0 4 7 1 -
T. Rice 35 5-15 1-7 2-3 1 3 2 0 1 13 3 -
S. Spears 30 5-14 0-0 2-3 5 2 1 0 2 12 4 -
T. Blair 25 3-3 0-0 3-7 6 0 1 4 1 9 16 -
M. Haynes 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 2 1 0 0 2 5 -
J. Oates 16 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 1 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 36 8-16 1-2 0-1 8 2 1 2 4 17 10 -
J. McRoberts 35 6-10 0-1 4-4 12 3 0 5 2 16 24 -
J. Scheyer 34 3-6 1-4 4-4 3 3 1 0 0 11 12 -
G. Paulus 34 2-8 0-1 0-0 1 6 1 0 1 4 3 -
L. Thomas 22 3-5 0-0 4-6 9 0 1 0 3 10 12 -
D. McClure 19 3-6 1-1 2-2 3 0 1 1 2 9 6 -
G. Henderson 11 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
M. Pocius 7 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 4 5 -
B. Zoubek 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter