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2007-01-28

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Stanford Cardinal Spread Result
Elo 36.7% 63.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.7% 37.3% -
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Log Adjusted 91.2% 8.8% -

Actual: Stanford Cardinal +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Afflalo 35 8-18 3-9 3-4 6 5 0 0 2 22 13 -
D. Collison 34 7-14 2-3 1-2 0 4 5 0 3 17 9 -
J. Shipp 30 3-8 0-1 3-4 4 5 6 0 2 9 14 -
L. Mata-Real 25 3-7 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 2 0 7 5 -
A. Aboya 18 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
L. Mbah a Moute 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
M. Roll 14 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
J. Keefe 13 0-4 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
R. Wright 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Westbrook 7 1-2 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Goods 35 5-10 4-7 6-10 4 1 1 0 2 20 14 -
L. Hill 33 8-10 2-3 4-6 5 1 0 2 4 22 16 -
B. Lopez 30 2-7 0-1 3-5 8 2 0 1 0 7 11 -
M. Johnson 27 0-3 0-0 5-6 2 4 2 0 3 5 7 -
F. Washington 25 2-6 0-0 1-1 0 2 1 1 1 5 2 -
R. Lopez 14 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 3 6 4 -
P. Prowitt 12 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Finger 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
L. Fields 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
W. Paul 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. Weatherby 3 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
K. Brown 2 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter